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The world will not fall apart 2010-Jul-09 at 18:08 PDT

Posted by Scott Arbeit in Blog.
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It’s interesting how certain energies ebb and flow… lately I’ve been in a few discussions in various places online about all of the predictions of doom that we’re facing: economic, monetary, environmental, governmental, peak oil, Rising China, resources, water, nuclear proliferation, global warming, etc.  I’m sure I’m forgetting some in the moment.

Basically, those who deeply believe in these kinds of predictions consider someone like me either: 1) naïve; 2) ill-informed; 3) in denial; or 4) all of the above!  And this is true about every one of the above threats!  I’m ill-informed and in denial about lots of things!  Wow… all that and I wasn’t even trying.  Cool, right?

Well… this is your invitation to join me in my naïve, ill-informed, denial-infused reality.

Because I just don’t believe it.

We’ve been seeing forecasts of doom for our entire lives.  Remember acid rain?  Yeah… but you had forgotten about it, didn’t you?  Remember Reagan as a madman with his finger on the button?  Hell, Sting even wrote a song about it… “I hope the Russians love their children too.”  Remember?  Oh, please.  We’re still here, the Soviet Union is gone, and no one fired any missiles.

There are always predictions of doom, from all angles.  I’ll have a lot to say about this in the coming weeks, because it’s an enormous personal and cultural energy leak to pay attention to them.  Why?  Because they’re almost always wrong.  And I mean almost always.

A broken clock is right twice-a-day, and some of these theories come true in one way or another.  Right now Nouriel Roubini is enjoying his triumphant moment of having predicted the economic collapse of 2008.  So, yay for him, and that’s all as it should be.  But almost all of these predictions fall by the wayside as inaccurate, exaggerated, or not taking into account the changes in technology and society that are certain to happen.

With that said, and with much more to come, I’ll begin with a video of Ken Wilber talking about these kinds of predictions.


The importance of a developmental view of our enemies 2010-May-17 at 11:09 PDT

Posted by Scott Arbeit in Blog.
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Combat Generation: Trying to work with an Afghan insurgent, by Greg Jaffe, 17-May-2010

The offer came from an insurgent known as Mullah Sadiq, who had been on the U.S. kill-capture list since 2005. [Lt. Col. Robert B.] Brown assumed that some fighters aligned with Sadiq had taken part in the assault.

Sadiq wanted 50 assault rifles, $20,000 and a promise that U.S. forces would not kill him. In return, he promised to turn against more-radical Taliban insurgents and to begin to work with the Afghan government.

Sadiq’s proposition gave Brown a chance, however tentative, to achieve a victory of sorts in his corner of Afghanistan and redeem the loss of his men.

"This has the potential to work," Brown told his commander.

This is the kind of creative thinking and perspective-shifting that our troops are faced with every day in Iraq and Afghanistan, and everywhere else we’ll deploy the SysAdmin force.  Those who are considered enemies can be, in these messy and shifting situations, our allies, and all for far less than the cost of having a single soldier in theater.  The fact that our Lt. Col. Brown warmed to this proposal, even from a first-tier or flatland perspective on development, is a powerful testament to his own openness and creativity, and makes me incredibly happy that he’s on our side.

Imagine how many more commanders would be able to make this leap if they knew a little bit about vertical development?  What if we trained our military leaders with the basics of Integral philosophy?  What if they had at least heard of the idea of Spiral Dynamics or developmental psychology?

All of this is coming, I promise.  The military is incredibly fast to adopt useful ideas and run with them.  And with that will come a smoother, more predictable and repeatable SysAdmin process wherever it’s required.