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The demographics are in our favor 2010-Apr-07 at 22:41 PDT

Posted by Scott Arbeit in Blog.

Relax, We’ll Be Fine, by David Brooks, 5-April-2010

Over the next 40 years, demographers estimate that the U.S. population will surge by an additional 100 million people, to 400 million over all. The population will be enterprising and relatively young. In 2050, only a quarter will be over 60, compared with 31 percent in China and 41 percent in Japan.

In addition, the U.S. remains a magnet for immigrants. Global attitudes about immigration are diverging, and the U.S. is among the best at assimilating them (while China is exceptionally poor). As a result, half the world’s skilled immigrants come to the U.S. As Kotkin notes, between 1990 and 2005, immigrants started a quarter of the new venture-backed public companies.

The United States already measures at the top or close to the top of nearly every global measure of economic competitiveness. A comprehensive 2008 Rand Corporation study found that the U.S. leads the world in scientific and technological development. The U.S. now accounts for a third of the world’s research-and-development spending. Partly as a result, the average American worker is nearly 10 times more productive than the average Chinese worker, a gap that will close but not go away in our lifetimes.

I know it’s way more popular to talk about how everything is turning bad.  The problem is… it’s not.  Things are good, and despite the occasional hiccup, only getting better.

I do believe in the Law of Attraction, and so what we put our attention on tends to manifest.  It’s an explicit goal of my work to try to get people to stop putting their attention on the outcomes they don’t want (global warming, financial collapse, renewed superpower confrontation, the list goes on and on) and get everyone focused on the outcomes they do want (reform of major religions, Integral politics, intelligent ecological and technological policies, music that doesn’t suck, etc.).

Bottom line… the United States is poised for a prosperous and healthy 21st Century.  Deal with it.



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